March 7, 2012Krishna Sunwuar
Ace Institute of Management
Good to hear from you.
When Dr Hari Man Shrestha estimated hydropower potential of Nepal in early 60s, nothing like computer existed; not even calculator (it was he who announced that theoretical potential to be 83,000 MW and economic potential 43,000 MW). He probably was doing his work with the only assistance of slide-rule. Unfortunately, nobody after him tried to study this aspect so far. Besides, coming up with exact number will depend upon building up inventory list of the projects which will call for quite a lot of time, energy and cost because people will have to visit each potential project site on all rivers (there are more than 6,000 rivers in Nepal and each river will have more than one project site).
On the other hand, the installed capacity can easily be increased by simply lowering exceedance by basing on Dr Shrestha’s work itself. Besides, I don’t think the Chinese have gone through the rigorous process I have mentioned above to arrive at the conclusion you have quoted. Nevertheless, what is important for Nepal at the moment is to get on with building projects which have been categorically identified as bankable projects such that (1) those with access to electricity (about 25%) are liberated from the curse of load shedding, (2) those deprived of access to electricity are provided with electricity and (3) most importantly, about 10,000 MW power is availed for Nepal’s industrialization and electrification of transportation in order for Nepal to achieve accelerated growth within 5 years without which Nepal will not be able to rise above the vicious cycle it is stuck in.
I wish you all the best.
With best regards,
Ratna Sansar Shrestha, FCA
Senior Water Resource Analyst
From: Krish firstname.lastname@example.org
Date: Fri, Mar 2, 2012 at 9:35 AM
Subject: Hydropower potential of Nepal is 105 MW thousands found by Chinese company
Dear Ratna Sansar!
Six month before, I had chance to attend your presentation on Hydropower of Nepal in Ace Institute of Management. I am one of student EMBA. My name is Krishna Sunuwar. It was very interesting session, I fact I wrote paper on basis of your presentation (http://www.krishnasunuwar.com.np/2011/08/hydropower-of-nepal-slow-development/).
The reason behind writing you is that, recently I come across the news that Chinese company is saying that Nepal's potential hydro power generation is 105MW. They wanted to run servey, but Govt. of Nepal denied. Is this true? Or it just media gimmick created by Three Gorges for controversy.
Thank you sir.