April 16, 2012
To: Govinda Sharma Pokharel; 'Ratan Bhandari'
I fully agree with you. It is sheer foolishness to have projects like Upper Karnali and Arun III implemented as export oriented projects. My “back of envelop” calculation indicates that in order for Nepal to attain normal economic growth rate (contrasted with suppressed growth rate scenario that is obtaining now) Nepal will have to use/consume 5,000 MW by the end of 5 years. If we seriously hope to achieve accelerated economic growth (follow the path paved by our neighbors like China and India) we will have to be using 10,000 MW in next 5 years.
With best regards,
Ratna Sansar Shrestha, FCA
Senior Water Resource Analyst
From: govinda pokharel [mailto:firstname.lastname@example.org]
Sent: Sunday, April 15, 2012 13:11
Subject: Re: latest article
First of all, i would like to thank Dr. Kamal Raj Dhungel ji for opening a discussion forum on the development of the three major projects lisenced to various private companies. Secondly, i totally agree with Dr. DN dhungel's notes and reamrks, but would like to add that even after completion of the Upper Karnali and Arun 3, the load shedding will still remain even if all the power is consumed in Nepal. This is on the basis of the totasl deficit of the supply in the dry season of 2011/2012. The demand-supply gap will be even more when the projects really complete.
Besat regards to all
govinda sharma pokharel